发表于 2019-04-26 18:00:34 股吧网页版
机会就在细节中发现!
截至目前,有116家公司股东人数连续三季减少,这些公司大致可以分为三种情况。

  首先是以潞安环能、云维股份、万业企业等为代表的,股东人数在今年3-6月间出现迅猛减少的公司。这类公司的特点在于,自去年底即有机构悄悄增仓,在持续低位震荡后出现了加速拉升行情,而在拉升过程中,人均持股数高度集中,属于典型的高举高打,以潞安环能为例子,3月30日收盘价为20.74元,6月29日收盘价为40.87元,涨幅高达97.06%,而这期间股东人数锐减了52.80%,可见机构增仓幅度相当明显,由于该股业绩突出,动态估值不到40倍,同时又作为煤炭龙头,具有产能扩张题材,因此可以认为机构增仓出于对其未来业绩成长而做的中长期考虑,像这一类的公司就应该值得中长期的投资,从某种程度上甚至可以忽略短期波动的影响。与之相对的第二种是以SST长岭、ST雄震等为代表的亏损股、绩差股,这类公司虽然也出现了股东人数的快速减少,但由于股价概念性的大幅炒作,游资运作的性质比较明显,由于并不具备后续的成长潜力,这类个股在后市甚至可能出现主力高位派发、大举出货的可能,其中的风险不言而喻。最后一类则是以同方股份为代表的,股东人数持续减少,但股价相对涨幅不高的品种,主力资金在抑制股价大幅波动的同时,持续地进行筹码收集,如果配合后市的题材推出,相信可能会出现比较惊人的爆发,这一类则需要投资者提前布局,在阶段低点进行长线建仓。

  一般而言,在总股本保持不变的前提下,股东人数的持续减少就意味着人均持股数的不断增加,也就是说流通筹码开始呈现集中,传统意义上这代表了主力资金完成吸筹过程,即将开始拉升。但需要指出的是随着市场进入机构主导时代,资金性质的多样化颠覆了以前传统的坐庄模式,机构间博弈产生的合力增大了时间风险,换句话说,从筹码集中到完成拉升的时间成本已无法衡量。目前上市公司股东人数的公开数据一般来自季报、半年报和年报,时间上有一定的滞后性,因此,投资者应该研究股东人数与上市公司基本面情况的变化趋势,用动态眼光去看待人数变化这一现象,从而增加投资的准确率。

  股东户数连续三季下降的个股一览

证券代码    证券简称    当期股东总户数(户)(T0)    环比增减(%)(T0-T1)/T1    前一期股东总户数(户)(T1)    环比增减(%)(T1-T2)/T2    前二期股东总户数(户)(T2)    环比增减(%)(T2-T3)/T3    前三期股东总户数(户)(T3)    当期总股本(万股)    当期流通A股(万股)

000001      深发展A    272155                    -7.95                    295644                      -27.22                   406233                      -20.45                   510668                      208675.83           208675.83

000011      S深物业A    28765                     -4.61                    30156                       -4.55                    31594                       -5.17                    33315                       54179.92            9139.13

000019      深深宝A    17518                     -11.59                   19814                       -10.30                   22090                       -6.40                    23601                       18192.31            15578.71

000024      招商地产    13600                     -13.20                   15668                       -12.59                   17925                       -30.13                   25655                       73413.04            50790.15

000025      特  力A    12470                     -15.31                   14725                       -11.44                   16628                       -1.66                    16908                       22028.16            19388.16

000027      深能源A    81570                     -13.68                   94494                       -14.71                   110792                      -2.12                    113191                      120249.53           120249.53

000042      深 长 城    13585                     -45.69                   25015                       -11.15                   28153                       -27.30                   38725                       23946.30            23946.30

000046      泛海建设    12063                     -17.00                   14534                       -21.17                   18437                       -30.41                   26493                       75148.14            75148.14

000049      德赛电池    8103                      -40.00                   13505                       -10.18                   15036                       -4.22                    15699                       13682.92            13682.92

000155      川化股份    42262                     -11.11                   47544                       -19.78                   59267                       -5.61                    62788                       47000.00            47000.00

000158      常山股份    37312                     -5.48                    39477                       -5.63                    41834                       -12.42                   47767                       43000.00            43000.00

000401      冀东水泥    54258                     -22.12                   69667                       -17.75                   84706                       -17.21                   102312                      96277.06            96277.06

000407      胜利股份    41599                     -5.89                    44204                       -15.64                   52399                       -0.98                    52916                       35672.09            35672.09

000415      汇通集团    34115                     -17.44                   41323                       -15.24                   48755                       -6.69                    52252                       30033.58            30033.58

000418      小天鹅A    40189                     -2.82                    41355                       -12.94                   47504                       -11.97                   53965                       36510.38            23774.66

000422      湖北宜化    41469                     -31.28                   60345                       -8.75                    66132                       -0.56                    66506                       54237.81            54237.81

000430      S*ST张股    17944                     -1.11                    18146                       -29.73                   25823                       -3.52                    26764                       18360.00            7435.80

000503      海虹控股    69290                     -1.86                    70606                       -14.41                   82489                       -5.71                    87482                       74901.85            74901.85

000509      S*ST华塑    27808                     -4.70                    29180                       -13.49                   33729                       -5.90                    35844                       25000.99            15080.03

000524      东方宾馆    29889                     -3.92                    31107                       -2.18                    31799                       -5.16                    33529                       26967.37            26967.37

000530   &

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